Experts Predict Shift in Jewish American Voting Toward Republicans in 2024


Experts have indicated that the stance of elected politicians regarding Israel's conflict with Hamas in the upcoming 2024 elections may influence the voting decisions of Jewish-American Democrats. The division within the Democratic party over this issue is expected to significantly impact elections, from the presidential race to local congressional contests, according to insights from insiders and several Jewish voters, as reported by Fox News Digital.

A Broader Awakening

Rabbi Yoni Fein, the head of a southern Jewish school, observes a broader awakening among Americans, particularly within the Jewish community, due to the Israel-Hamas conflict. He emphasizes the newfound focus on substantive policy stances of presidential candidates rather than being swayed by personalities or political correctness, highlighting the tangible consequences of American foreign policy on the global stage.

According to Rabbi Yoni Fein, the war between Israel and Hamas has profoundly impacted Americans of diverse backgrounds, particularly Jewish Americans. He believes that it has opened the eyes of many to the significance of substantive policy stances of presidential candidates, shifting the focus away from personality and political correctness towards critical issues such as the economy, foreign policy, and security.

Rabbi Fein also pointed to the nationwide rise of antisemitism and protests against perceived anti-American values in major U.S. cities, emphasizing the importance of strong leadership that prioritizes law and order and safeguards the integrity that has made America a great nation.

Fran Biderman-Gross, who learned of Hamas attacks while at synagogue, anticipates that ongoing acts of terrorism and support for Israel will lead to increased backing for candidates aligned with the Jewish-American community's views and anti-terrorism perspectives. This suggests a potential shift in political support among specific population segments in response to recent events.

Drawing Criticism

Some House Democrats, including Rep. Ilhan Omar from Minnesota, Rep. Rashida Tlaib from Michigan, and members of the far-left “Squad,” have criticized President Biden and Democratic leadership for their support of Israel. This criticism has sparked discussions among Jewish voters and experts.

Jake Novak, former media director at the Israeli Consulate in New York, drew a historical parallel, mentioning that a similar shift in Jewish voter sentiment occurred in 1980. Although Jimmy Carter still won a majority of the Jewish vote in 1980, it declined from the 1976 election due to disappointment among some Jewish voters with his policies.

In summary, the Israel-Hamas conflict's influence on the 2024 elections and its potential impact on Jewish-American voters have become important discussion topics among Democrats and political observers.

Diverse Political Leanings

In the United States, Jewish voters exhibit diverse political leanings, with 64% aligning themselves with the Democratic Party or left-leaning ideologies. In comparison, 26% identify as Republicans or right-leaning, according to data from the Pew Research Center. Additionally, 9% of Jewish voters fall into the category of not leaning left or right, highlighting the complexity of this demographic's political affiliations.

Despite the historical tilt of Jewish Americans towards the Democratic Party, political analyst Novak anticipates a noteworthy shift in their voting patterns in the upcoming election cycle. While he acknowledges uncertainty about Jewish support for former President Trump, Novak suggests a surge in Jewish voter support for Republican congressional candidates and those who might challenge incumbent Democrats who have disappointed them.

Furthermore, Novak points out that Orthodox Jewish-American voters often lean Republican, as evidenced by pre-2020 polling data, which indicated a majority were inclined to support Republican candidate Donald Trump over Democrat Joe Biden.

In the aftermath of pro-Palestinian statements made by lawmakers like Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib, liberal Jewish Americans may reevaluate their voting decisions. Novak suggests that some may question whether these liberal lawmakers genuinely represent the interests of Muslim Americans or if they are inadvertently advocating for individuals viewed as adversaries of the nation.

Some people still believe there won't be any change in election results based on the conflict in Israel.

Author: Claire Conway

Expertise: Finance, Debt, Lifestyle


Claire started Femme on FIRE after struggling with the debt cycle and realizing that she had to create better habits to get out of it. She became inspired along this journey and now strives to help others achieve financial freedom as well. When she isn’t working on her blog, you can find her on the couch with a good book, cooking up recipes in the kitchen, or playing outside with her ducks.