Diddy’s Projected Prison Release Moves Up to Jan. 21, 2028, His Earliest Date Yet

NEW YORK - OCTOBER 5: Sean John Combs P Daddy attends Swarovski show at Vogue Bambini petiteParade Kids Fashion Week at Industrial Superstudio on October 5, 2013 in New York City
Image Credit: lev radin / Shutterstock.

Sean “Diddy” Combs has received another adjustment to his projected federal prison release date, and the latest calculation is the earliest one publicly reported since he began serving his sentence.

Federal Bureau of Prisons records reviewed September 29 list January 21, 2028, as Combs’ projected release date from FCI Fort Dix in New Jersey, according to TMZ. The new projection moves his expected release forward 15 days from February 5, the date that appeared in BOP records earlier this month. 

The Bureau of Prisons has not publicly attributed the newest change to a particular program, disciplinary decision or time-credit calculation. Its own inmate-record guidance says a future release date displayed in the locator is a projection based on BOP calculations, meaning the date can continue to change before an inmate actually leaves federal custody.

Combs, 56, is serving a 50-month sentence after a federal jury convicted him in July 2025 on two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution. He was acquitted of racketeering conspiracy and sex-trafficking charges, and his separate appeal of the convictions and sentence remains unresolved.

The BOP Has Not Explained the Latest 15-Day Change

The Bureau of Prisons publicly explains the mechanisms that can affect federal release calculations but has not said which one produced Combs’ September 29 adjustment. Its guidance says eligible inmates can earn First Step Act time credits through qualifying evidence-based recidivism-reduction programs and productive activities, while federal law also allows eligible prisoners to earn good-conduct time.

The agency says the release date appearing in its public inmate locator is the current projected release date based on credits and calculations actually being applied, while its separate conditional calculators can show possible future scenarios.

Combs has previously been reported to participate in drug-treatment programming at Fort Dix, but neither the BOP nor Combs’ representatives have publicly established that such participation caused this particular 15-day reduction. 

The July Prison Altercation Was Never Officially Tied to the Date Changes

Combs’ shifting release timeline has also overlapped with a reported disciplinary episode at Fort Dix. In July, ABC News reported, citing a source familiar with the incident, that Combs was involved in an altercation with another inmate and was subsequently placed in solitary confinement.

His projected date later moved from January 24 back to February 20, which prompted speculation that the disciplinary episode had affected the calculation.

The Bureau of Prisons, however, declined to discuss Combs’ individual disciplinary circumstances, and no official source publicly established a causal link between the fight and that later release projection. The date has since moved forward twice, first to February 5 and now to January 21. 

Combs Is Serving 50 Months After Two Mann Act Convictions

A federal jury convicted Combs on July 2, 2025, of two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution under the Mann Act while acquitting him on the racketeering conspiracy and sex-trafficking counts. The U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York records that Judge Subramanian sentenced him to 50 months in prison on October 3, 2025.

Combs had already been held in federal custody since his September 2024 arrest by the time he was sentenced. Reuters reported at sentencing that the time he had already spent detained would count toward the term, helping explain why his projected release falls well before 50 months after October 2025.

He is serving the remaining custodial term at FCI Fort Dix, the low-security federal institution in New Jersey where he was transferred after sentencing.

His Appeal Could Affect the Sentence Separately From the BOP Calculation

Combs is also challenging both his convictions and his sentence in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit. A three-judge panel heard oral argument on April 9, with his lawyers arguing in part that the sentencing court improperly relied on conduct connected to charges on which the jury had acquitted him.

The Associated Press reported that the judges questioned both sides closely about the sentence and did not issue an immediate ruling. The appellate docket confirms that the case was heard on April 9, and no published decision overturning the convictions or replacing the 50-month judgment has emerged.